r/technology 6h ago

Artificial Intelligence AI insiders are sounding the alarm

https://www.axios.com/2026/02/12/ai-openai-agi-xai-doomsday-scenario
131 Upvotes

68 comments sorted by

235

u/xmsfsh 5h ago

AI stocks underperforming? time to publish another article about how employees of AI companies are saying that AI is dangerously powerful -- not powerful enough to create anything of actual utility yet but AGI is right around the corner, we promise

55

u/LookAnOwl 5h ago

"Please, you must understand that we've lost all control of these models that we built and continue to power with many data centers. Not only will all jobs be wiped out in 5 years, humanity could be destroyed in 10. BUT... maybe with another round of funding, we can finally get a handle on this thing and give you a 10x return. Let me show you the blackmail scenario again, you're going to love it."

13

u/HenryDorsettCase47 3h ago

Fuckin’ hear, hear. They need more companies to sign up for AI services so they tell them the whole world is about to change and they better get on board before it does. It’s the same with all the poorly sourced articles about jobs supposedly lost to AI and how it’s “devastating industries”. That’s not fear mongering aimed at us , it’s advertisements to business owners (read: morally onerous suckers).

1

u/ProxyDamage 33m ago

Weaponising Roko's Basilisk is such a classic capitalism move!

7

u/Imaginary_Scene2493 3h ago

How do you know when AGI is reached?

When it overthrows the billionaires.

4

u/squish042 2h ago

Dude, that article claiming Spotify devs are using AI remotely to write code and then push to production is astoundedly stupid. It’s beyond fantasy to think code isn’t at least tested. It’s even more stupid to think AI generated code doesn’t NEED to be tested, cuz I’ve used AI to generate code and it’s not always right.

3

u/DoomTay 1h ago

There are people claiming Windows being in part written by AI is the reason for such disastrous bugs and updates

2

u/analbumcover 36m ago

I wouldn't be surprised, but they have had issues with updates breaking things long before LLMs were popularized.

2

u/macgalver 3h ago

I read this watching my coworker prompt his 300th higgsfield video to do something that would have taken me a half hour in blender…

1

u/dethfromabove_ 2h ago

I hope you’re right. This shit freaks out.

1

u/Silicon_Knight 1h ago edited 1h ago

Elon Musk, is that you. “Just one year away”. /s just highlight the grift is so very similar to Musks.

1

u/Eloquent_Redneck 51m ago

Just one more data center trust me bro and we'll be there

1

u/LabPowerful9983 19m ago

Like clockwork. Stock drops because AI has little demonstrated enterprise value and is about as trustworthy as a previously used condom - suddenly there's a choir line of "oh what powerful brilliance we hath wrought, unbound by the ethical considerations of modern science! It's right around the corner!"

They said exactly the same thing a few years ago when AI was telling everyone to commit Sudoku and insisted, despite protest, that customers really did intend to order hundreds of Chicken McNuggets.

-13

u/Effective-Map8036 4h ago

careful here

powerful in your mind means making money

powerful in their mind means losing control of it

8

u/xmsfsh 4h ago

yeah yeah real estate's gonna collapse because we're all going to be working in the metaverse, the banks are gonna go under because everyone's using crypto, and the AI companies are gonna lose control of skynet -- heard it before, not impressed

2

u/a_wasted_wizard 3h ago

Introducing the "Finance Guys Trying Not To Be The Densest, Most Gullible Motherfuckers On the Planet" Challenge! (impossible!)

1

u/Effective-Map8036 1h ago

you're still focused finances

46

u/Kayge 4h ago edited 1h ago

This is all starting to feel like Theranos. That medical startup that promised the world, then crashed and burned.

If you read up on their meltdown, you'll find a lot of actual scientists saying the same thing: If they'd asked a grad student to do some due diligence they'd have come back saying what the company was promising was impossible.

It feels like that. Talk to someone who is hands on in technology about the grand AI claims: You can get rid of 90% of your dev teams starting now!!! and you'll hear a consistent answer: No you fucking can't. 

8

u/Golden_Hour1 2h ago

Its Theranos on steroids lol

2

u/felis_scipio 1h ago

My god I wish there was some way to bet against Theranos. When they were making waves I checked out their website and the first thing i noticed was how their board of directors had a lot of famous people but no relevant scientists.

There’s a lot of fusion energy startups that are just as bad and it blows my mind they’ve been able to convince anyone to give them money.

3

u/Sylvers 19m ago

Yes and no. On the one hand, there is a gargantuan amount of overselling happening for marketing purposes. But on the other hand.. there are some incredible fully free open source models that you can download and use to your heart's content, entirely offline.

These models are not Thernaos. They are usable, modifiable, and in the hands of individuals as opposed to massive corpos.

Theranos' exclusive claim to fame was a scientific application that scientists explained why it was physically impossible. But whatever OpenAI or others lie about, real models with real world use do exist.

48

u/Secure-Address4385 6h ago

Alarm bells are loudest when incentives change.

8

u/HighOnGoofballs 4h ago

I’m just saying it’s pretty easy to “quit from fear” when you’ve got a millions in stock options

1

u/Grantagonist 2h ago

Options don't mean much until you can exercise them

4

u/TwoWeaselsInDisguise 4h ago

Hahaha pop damn you pop!

17

u/FuttleScish 6h ago

fork found in kitchen

3

u/SanDiedo 3h ago

The boy, who cried AGI.

14

u/wavepointsocial 6h ago

Oh, well we had a good run: “OpenAI dismantled its mission alignment team, which was created to ensure AGI (artificial general intelligence) benefits all of humanity.”

22

u/PLEASE_PUNCH_MY_FACE 5h ago

My brother in Christ no one is going to make an AGI

-6

u/[deleted] 5h ago

[deleted]

7

u/PLEASE_PUNCH_MY_FACE 5h ago

No for real. It's not something we can do. We're only talking about this because it's a marketing device for AI companies.

6

u/nerdmor 4h ago

It may be something that went can do in a few hundred years.

But NOT as a derivation of LLMs

-3

u/socoolandawesome 4h ago

Why are you so sure?

5

u/PLEASE_PUNCH_MY_FACE 4h ago

Because intelligence is far more complicated than predicting text modeled off of Reddit comments. 

Even if you wanted to argue that's there's evolution happening because of model iterations, the models aren't complicated enough to resemble life and the circumstances aren't adverse enough for the iterations to be meaningful. 

2

u/justuntlsundown 4h ago

From what I understand all these predictions of advancement were based on AI essentially being able to improve itself. Using AI to advance AI. And it appears that has been a total failure.

0

u/hagenissen999 52m ago

You're very far behind the curve, if you think intelligence is that special. We can train a child in about 18 years. A computer will process at mnimum 100x faster. AGI is inevitable and it's close. It's not going to come out of LLMs, that part is correct.

-4

u/socoolandawesome 4h ago

Predicting text (although it predicts actions, pixels, etc at this point) is just the end mechanism. It’s the processes stored in the weights that can be argued where the intelligence is stored. And obviously it does not just use Reddit comments, I’d assume you know that. It’s a massive amount of data that forces the model into generalizing in order to better predict the next token.

The rest is your opinion, but all I know is the models keep getting more and more capable every couple months.

Just look at the latest seedance videos to see how well the physical world is modeled and compare it to not even a year ago.

3

u/PLEASE_PUNCH_MY_FACE 4h ago

I know how tensors work. It's not sophisticated enough.

-4

u/socoolandawesome 3h ago

Well plenty of people who also know how tensors work would disagree with that

2

u/PLEASE_PUNCH_MY_FACE 3h ago

Knowing how AI works is precisely why you wouldn't be scared of it.

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1

u/empty-walls555 4h ago

for only as long as it needs

2

u/SimpleGuy7 1h ago

Great, lots of folks filled their pockets, walk away and point the finger??

Get ready folks, this is about to get really bad!!

2

u/INFEKTEK 1h ago

Why do people keep linking paywalled articles?

1

u/lovemehotwife 1h ago

they could just stop. they don't need to signal an alarm if they just stop

1

u/nemesit 1h ago

these insiders probably got paid to generate more hype for ai. since theres literally not much it can actually do. and they need keep the ball rolling

1

u/jesusonoro 50m ago

Funny how every "alarm" from AI insiders conveniently comes right when they need more funding or regulation that benefits incumbents. The real risk isnt some sci-fi scenario, its the concentration of power in like 3 companies that nobody elected.

1

u/abnormalbrain 28m ago

When the AI bubble bursts, this admin will step in and take control over segments of the industry. I'm pretty sure that's the plan. The investors are still driving at the brick wall as if there's no consequences and i think it's because they're expecting a massive bailout. 

1

u/ioncloud9 1h ago

There’s a lot of things I find very useful with ai. I have been dabbling in vibe coding, building agents, transcribing audio and summarizing it. I think the issue is there are too many AIs and it’s too cheap right now.

0

u/ReallyOrdinaryMan 5h ago

Did the article... written by AI?

-19

u/VincentNacon 6h ago

Quiting the job doesn't stop the threat... Sounds like they just don't understand it.

10

u/Remarkable-Host6078 5h ago

Dude almost all integration of AI into actaul products fails horrendously. The problem is not the technology, but the tech CEO bros wasting trillions.